Malcolm Griffiths of Bluespace Thinking writes:
The Office of the Rail Regulator has published passenger usage figures up to the end of September 2013. They show that there has been zero growth in long distance rail demand over the last year although GDP growth has been about 3%. Bluespace Thinking predicted this reduction in long distance rail growth in April 2010. HS2 and the DfT continue to put forward a Strategic case and an Economic case in support of HS2 that is fundamentally flawed.
The Bluespace Thinking paper (which can be downloaded from the Bluespace Thinking website) was submitted as evidence to the Transport Select Committee. The TSC Chair has questioned the DfT about one of the key flaws that we have identified, the sudden increase in the assumed number of business passengers. The DfT incorrectly responded that the evidence for this increase came from the National Passenger Survey, the TSC have asked the DfT for a fuller explanation.