The diagram and table show the predicted modal shift that HS2 Ltd say will occur as a result of HS2 being built. Each date along the bottom was chosen by HS2 Ltd for when they say that is when travel double will have doubled. The other date is the date they made the prediction.
What’s clear from a graph, is just how much of the shift will be from lower-carbon classic rail, and how little from air.
And as striking is the number of new trips which HS2 say will take place simply because people decide to use their new fast train.
|HS2 Modal Shift – When Rail Usage has Doubled, according to HS2 Ltd|
|Classic Rail||New Trips||Air||Car|
(2010 economic case)
(2011 economic case)
(2012 economic case)